Alternatives to the ACA's Affordability Firewall

• Researchers modeled two scenarios that represent alternatives to the ACA affordability firewall. Relative to the ACA, they estimate that nongroup enrollment will increase by 4.1 million for an “entire family” scenario and by 1.4 million for a “dependents only” scenario. However, the number without insurance only declines by 1.5 million in the “entire family” scenario and by 0.7 million in the “dependents only” scenario.