An analytical study of Andhra Pradesh assembly past poll data to predict the outcome of current polls-2019

This study, by analyzing the poll scenario and poll data of the past general elections conducted for the assembly of the state of Andhra Pradesh from the date of its formation, aims at a) predicting outcome of present general elections-2019. b) predicting a number of seats to be won by major parties. A retrospective comparative study was designed on the data pertaining to seat share and vote share of major political parties in all the previously conducted general assembly elections (till 2014) and it was analyzed using linear charts. Three possible outcomes, in the order of probability, were obtained. Poll prediction can be done when past data is analyzed in a methodical way. of course, the validity of prediction awaits the decision of time, as these predictions are done ahead of polling-2019.