A Simple Index to Predict Liver Functional Reserve after Hepatectomy.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: It is difficult to estimate the functional reserve of the liver required for safe hepatectomy in patients with severe chronic liver disease The aim of this study was to retrospectively construct simple model based on routine laboratory data to predict both early liver failure (ELF) and mortality from recurrence-free liver failure (MLF) as an index for late liver failure after hepatectomy. METHODOLOGY: Between 2000 and 2004, 196 consecutive patients underwent curative hepatectomy, and data from 127 minor hepatectomies were included in this study. RESULTS: Mean survival time was [mean (SD)] 1252 (670) days after hepatectomy. ELF and MLF were observed in 29 and 13 patients, respectively. PT%, TB, and direct bilirubin (DB) were the best predictors in patients with both ELF and MLF. PT% alone was the best predictor of ELF and MLF with area under ROC curves of 0.70 and 0.81, respectively. By using a preoperative PT% of ≤ 70, we could accurately predict ELF and MLF in 77% and 87% of patients, respectively. ICG-R15 could not accurately predict both ELF and MLF for any cut-off values. CONCLUSIONS: Unlike ICG-R15, PT% is a simple noninvasive index for estimating liver functional reserve to predict both ELF and MLF.