Long-lived compositional heterogeneities in magma chambers, and implications for volcanic hazard

Magmas discharged during individual volcanic eruptions commonly display compositional variations interpreted as new arrivals at shallow depth of more primitive, hotter, volatile-rich magma batches mixing with resident, colder, partially degassed magma. Heterogeneities in eruption products are often interpreted as evidence of short times of order tens of hours from new magma arrival to eruption, raising concerns for emergency planning. We show here, through numerical simulations, that magma convection and mixing in a shallow magma chamber can result in long-lived, dynamically stable configurations with coexistence of magmas from nearly pure to variably mixed end-member compositions. Short mixing time scales may therefore relate to sin-eruptive processes, as heterogeneities found in the eruptive products are not necessarily the fingerprint of new magma arrival shortly preceding or triggering the eruption.