Comparative effects of sodium glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP4) inhibitors on new-onset atrial fibrillation and stroke outcomes

Background: SGLT2I and DPP4I are medications prescribed for type 2 diabetes mellitus patients. However, there are few population-based studies comparing their effects on incident atrial fibrillation or ischemic stroke. Methods: This was a territory-wide cohort study of type 2 diabetes mellitus patients prescribed SGLT2I or DPP4I between January 1st, 2015 to December 31st, 2019 in Hong Kong. Patients with both DPP4I and SGLT2I use and patients with drug discontinuation were excluded. Patients with prior AF or stroke were excluded for the respective analysis. 1:2 propensity-score matching was conducted for demographics, past comorbidities and medications using nearest-neighbor matching method. Cox models were used to identify significant predictors for new onset heart failure (HF) or myocardial infarction (MI), cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. Results: The AF-free cohort included 49108 patients (mean age: 66.48 years old [SD: 12.89], 55.32% males) and the stroke-free cohort included 49563 patients (27244 males [54.96%], mean baseline age: 66.7 years old [SD: 12.97, max: 104.6 years old]). After propensity score matching, SGLT2i use was associated with a lower risk of new onset AF (HR: 0.43[0.28, 0.66]), cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.79[0.58, 1.09]) and all-cause mortality (HR: 0.69[0.60, 0.79]) in the AF-free cohort. It was also associated with a lower risk of new onset stroke (0.46[0.33, 0.64]), cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.74[0.55, 1.00]) and all-cause mortality (HR: 0.64[0.56, 0.74]) in the stroke-free cohort. Conclusions: The novelty of our work si that SGLT2 inhibitors are protective against atrial fibrillation and stroke development for the first time. These findings should be validated in other cohorts.