21-Gene assay as predictor of chemotherapy benefit in HER2-negative breast cancer

The NSABP B-20 prospective-retrospective study of the 21-gene Oncotype DX Breast Cancer Recurrence Score® test predicted benefit from addition of chemotherapy to tamoxifen in node-negative, estrogen-receptor positive breast cancer when recurrence score (RS) was ≥31. HER2 is a component of the RS algorithm with a positive coefficient and contributes to higher RS values. Accrual to B-20 occurred prior to routine testing for HER2, so questions have arisen regarding assay performance if HER2-positive patients were identified and excluded. We report an exploratory reanalysis of the B-20, 21-gene study following exclusion of such patients. Patients were considered HER2 positive if quantitative RT-PCR for HER2 was ≥11.5 units, and excluded from re-analyses performed using the original cutoffs: 25. The endpoint remained distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI) as in the original study. Distribution was estimated via the Kaplan–Meier method and compared via log-rank test. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models estimated chemotherapy benefit in each group. In the RS   25 cohort (HR = 0.28; 95% CI: 0.12–0.64). No benefit from chemotherapy was evident in the other RS groups. Following exclusion of HER2-positive patients based on RT-PCR expression, substantial benefit of chemotherapy remained for RS ≥ 31 as originally employed, and with RS > 25 employed in TAILORx.