Follow-up of cytologic predictions of endocervical glandular abnormalities: histologic outcomes in 123 cases.

OBJECTIVES: To determine histologic positive predictive values (PPVs) for three categories of cytologic reports of endocervical glandular abnormalities. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We obtained histologic follow-up for 100% of 67 cytologic predictions of adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS) and 82% of 39 predictions of possible AIS (?AIS) made over a 4-year period (1999-2002) and for 25% of 105 atypical endocervical cells (AEC) predictions over a 12-month period (2000). For each category of cytologic report, we determined the histologic yields of high-grade lesions overall and of high-grade glandular lesions. RESULTS: PPVs for predictions of AIS and ?AIS for high-grade lesions overall were 91% and 75% (p = .032), respectively, and those for high-grade glandular lesions were 88% and 72% (p = .046), respectively. For a cytologic report of AEC, of those with histologic follow-up, 9% had a high-grade lesion and 7% had a high-grade glandular lesion. CONCLUSION: Cytology can accurately predict AIS.