Profitability evaluation system of development pharmaceuticals

Profitability assessment system 10 of the development pharmaceutical products have a dataset generation subsystem 100 and management index computing subsystem 200. Data set creation subsystem, sales prediction unit 110, cost prediction unit 120, net present value (NPV) calculation unit 131, internal rate of return (IRR) calculator 140, a predetermined respective value determined by the prediction unit and the calculation unit having repeating calculation unit 150 and the data set recording unit 160 creates a data set that was varied with the distribution width. Management index computing subsystem includes a volatility calculation unit 201, an optional value computing section 202 and project in the value calculation section 203. In this way, the investment profitability of pharmaceutical research and development, to provide a system for evaluation using the real options method.