12 Mining scenarios for hepatitis B and C

Publisher Summary As a tool for chance discovery, scenario emergence is useful for real-world decisions. In the real world, events are dynamic and unpredictable, and decision makers are required to make decisions promptly when they believe that a chance—a significant event—may be taking place. This chapter presents an application of scenario emergence involving the discovery and representation of triggering events of essential scenarios in the domain of hepatitis progress and treatment. In the method discussed in the chapter, the widening of a user's views was aided by the projection of the user's personal experiences on an objective scenario map that displayed a selection of contexts in the wider real world. The process of narrowing the data involved focusing the user's concerns and employing the TextDrop tool. The newer the symptoms and the more ambiguous the future, the more useful will be the map. Tools are being developed to make the double helix process of discovery more efficient by combining the functions of KeyGraph and TextDrop and further integrating with visual interfaces to enable the emerging concerns of users to feedback into new cycles of the spiral discovery process.