Network clique cover approximation to analyze complex contagions through group interactions

Contagion processes have been proven to fundamentally depend on the structural properties of the interaction networks conveying them. Many real networked systems -- especially social ones -- are characterized by clustered substructures representing either collections of all-to-all pair-wise interactions (cliques) and/or group interactions, involving many of their members at once. In this work we focus on interaction structures represented as simplicial complexes, in which a group interaction is identified with a face. We present a microscopic discrete-time model of complex contagion for which a susceptible-infected-susceptible dynamics is considered. Introducing a particular edge clique cover and a heuristic to find it, the model accounts for the high-order state correlations among the members of the substructures (cliques/simplices). The mathematical tractability of the model allows for the analytical computation of the epidemic threshold, thus extending to structured populations some primary features of the critical properties of mean-field models. Overall, the model is found in remarkable agreement with numerical simulations.