CT Characteristics of COVID-19 Associated with AdverseOutcomes

Rationale: The novel coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) has overwhelmed global healthcare systems. It would be beneficial to identify clinical signs that predict adverse outcomes to anticipate clinical deterioration and optimize management. COVID-19 has presented with a variety of patterns on computed tomography (CT) and these findings may assist in disease stratification. This study aims to identify potential CT characteristics that may portend adverse outcomes. Methods: This is a retrospective review of 559 symptomatic patients infected with COVID-19 admitted from March 2020 to May 2020 at Temple University Hospital (Philadelphia, PA) who received thorax CT scans on admission. These scans were independently reviewed by a chest radiologist and evaluated for the presence of ground glass opacities, consolidations, interlobular septal thickening, enlarged pulmonary artery (PA) diameter, centrilobular nodules, and crazy paving pattern. Common CT findings were then associated with a combined adverse inpatient outcome (requiring high-flow oxygen, mechanical ventilation, and/or death) through univariate and multivariate logistic regression. Results: Of the 559 patients, 182 (32.6%) required high-flow oxygen, mechanical ventilation, and/or died. The cohort with adverse outcomes were older (mean age 65.0 years vs 56.7 years, p<0.0001), but had statistically similar gender, BMI and duration of symptoms compared to the cohort without adverse outcomes. The adverse outcome cohort had more COPD (18.7% vs 8.2%) but had statistically similar proportions of hypertension, diabetes, asthma, coronary artery disease, and congestive heart failure. On multivariate logistic regression, a PA diameter greater than 30mm (OR 1.056 [95% CI 1.015-1.097], p=0.0064), segmental consolidations (OR 2.359 [95% CI 1.446-3.848], p=0.0009), and non-segmental consolidations (OR 2.441, [95% CI 1.440-4.140], p=0.0009) were found to be significant predictors of adverse inpatient outcomes of either requiring high-flow nasal cannula, mechanical ventilation, or death. Conclusion: In symptomatic COVID-19 patients, enlarged PA diameter and consolidations on chest CT were associated with worse outcomes. These findings are likely representative of advanced pulmonary involvement and may be predictors of patients who require more aggressive upfront therapy. Multicenter analysis would be beneficial to confirm these findings.