ДО ПИТАННЯ ДЕРЖАВНОЇ БЕЗПЕКИ І МІЖНАРОДНОЇ СТАБІЛЬНОСТІ В УМОВАХ «ЕКОЛОГІЧНИХ ВІЙН» ХХІ СТОЛІТТЯ

In this article, an attempt is made to identify local and global risks from the effects of climate change and the irreversibility of environmental transformations of the 21st century, basing on predictive-analytical projects by leading experts in contemporary humanities (Z. Bauman, A.  Bezgodov, L. Brown, O. Jensen, S. Postel, E. Wilson, K. Kwang Foon, and others). The author states that in a globalization era conditions, the demarcation line of human inequality between the rich and the poor just deepens. Developed countries are able to use economic growth to deal the effects of climate change and adapt to environmental transformations, while less developed countries are receiving even more waste dumping and pollution, which certainly is becoming an additional factor in socio-political tensions and destabilization. Constant poverty and increasing of economic gap pose a real threat to social solidarity and undermine political stability, both nationally and internationally. Attention is drawn to the fact that in the context of extreme climatic and ecological situation (large-scale natural cataclysms, natural disasters, famine, fresh water lack crisis, mass migration, epidemics, etc.) the main source of socio-political tension and international destabilization is the struggle for « basic resources » (food, water, medical supplies, livable areas, etc.). The obvious antinomy and asymmetry of modern politics in the environmental issue, combined with the increase in the level of political comprehension of the people, will inevitably lead to an explosion of socio-political tension. As a result riots, protests, revolutions, wars will become symptomatic markers of the 21st century. The Water Wars, The Hunger Wars, and the Living Space Wars will be powerful generators of deep destabilization in individual regions of the world, causing socio-political crises, military conflicts, humanitarian disasters and large-scale migration processes, and also determining the format of internal and foreign policy of the states in the near future. Global integration and prioritization of the environmental issue is the only way to escape the global social tragedy of the « Global Environmental War for Survival » for Modern Civilization. Key words: climate change, environmental transformations, climate and environmental problems, local and global risks, socio-political protests, socio-political crises, political tension, national security and international stability, « water crisis » , « food deficit » , mass migration, environmental refugees and climate migrants, « climate-ecological wars » .