The early life-history dynamics of Northeast Arctic cod: levels of natural mortality and abundance during the first 3 years of life1

Recruitment at age 3 of the Northeast Arctic cod (Gadus morhua) is highly variable. It has generally been believed that year-class strength for this stock is determined prior to settlement to the bottom after about 6 months. However, newer observations indicate that year-class strength may change considerably between settlement and recruitment at age 3. Our analyses cover the 1983–2009 year classes where comprehensive data from total egg production (TEP), surveys, and stock assessments were available for a thorough examination of these cohorts. On average, only 6 out of 1 million of a new generation at the TEP stage reaches the age of recruitment to the fishery. The between-cohort variability in abundance is greatest at the ages 0–1 stage. Although the mortality is highest during the first months of life, the year-class strength can also be affected considerably by processes taking place between the 0-group stage (∼6 months) and age 3. The mortality in this period of life seems to be strongly density-depe...