Did the COVID-19 pandemic result in more family physicians stopping practice? Results from Ontario, Canada

Purpose: To understand changes in family physician practice patterns and whether more family physicians stopped working during the COVID-19 pandemic compared to previous years. Methods: We analyzed administrative data from Ontario, Canada two ways: cross-sectional and longitudinal. First, we identified the percentage and characteristics of all family physicians who had a minimum of 50 billing days in 2019 but no billings during the first six months of the pandemic. Second, for each year from 2010 to 2020, we calculated the percentage of physicians who billed for services in the first quarter of the calendar year but submitted no bills between April and September of the given year. Results: We found 3.1% of physicians working in 2019 (N=385/12,247) reported no billings in the first six months of the pandemic. Compared with other family physicians, a higher portion were age 75 or older (13.0% vs. 3.4%, p<0.001), had fee-for-service reimbursement (38% vs 25%, p<0.001), and had a panel size under 500 patients (40% vs 25%, p<0.001). Between 2010 and 2019, an average of 1.6% of physicians who practiced in the first quarter had no billings in each of the second and third quarters of the calendar year compared to 3.0% in 2020 (p<0.001). Conclusions: Approximately twice as many family physicians stopped work in Ontario, Canada during COVID-19 compared to previous years, but the absolute number was small and those who did had smaller patient panels. More research is needed to understand the impact on primary care attachment and access to care.