Prognostic implications of cytogenetic findings

Objective  To evaluate the prognostic impact of cytogenetic findings in renal cell carcinoma (RCC). Patients and methods  Tumour cytogenetics, histomorphology, DNA ploidy and S-phase fraction, stage, size, and grade were related to survival in 50 consecutive patients with RCC. The mean follow-up was 3.9 years (median 4.2, range 0–8.8). Results  The predictive probability for recurrence-free survival at 5 years (5-year RFS) for all 50 patients was 0.54. There was a significant association between the degree of cytogenetic complexity and survival, in that patients with five or less aberrations had a better prognosis than those with more than five changes (5-year RFS 0.71 and 0.43, respectively; P<0.05). Patients with del(8p)/-8, +12, and +20 had a significantly worse prognosis compared with those without these aberrations. Of the well-known prognostic variables grade and stage, the former was far better for predicting prognosis. A Spearman correlation test showed a significant covariation of grade with the S-phase fraction, T-stage, and cytogenetic complexity. Conclusion  The degree of cytogenetic complexity and recurrent cytogenetic abnormalities affect the prognosis in RCC, although grade was the most reliable independent prognostic factor predicting disease recurrence.