Influence of Parameter Values and Variances and Algorithm Architecture in ConsExpo Model on Modeled Exposures

This study evaluated the influence of parameter values and variances and model architecture on modeled exposures, and identified important data gaps that influence lack-of-knowledge-related uncertainty, using Consexpo 4.1 as an illustrative case study. Understanding the influential determinants in exposure estimates enables more informed and appropriate use of this model and the resulting exposure estimates. In exploring the influence of parameter placement in an algorithm and of the values and variances chosen to characterize the parameters within ConsExpo, “sensitive” and “important” parameters were identified: product amount, weight fraction, exposure duration, exposure time, and ventilation rate were deemed “important,” or “always sensitive.” With this awareness, exposure assessors can strategically focus on acquiring the most robust estimates for these parameters. ConsExpo relies predominantly on three algorithms to assess the default scenarios: inhalation vapors evaporation equation using the Langmu...