Selecting a more realistic uncertainty factor: Reducing compounding effects of multiple uncertainties

Abstract Available toxicology datasets provide a unique opportunity to validate some of the currently used Uncertainty Factors in the development of acceptable exposure levels for noncancer effects. Toxicity studies from two separate sources, the FAO/WHO database on pesticides (1978–1987) and the Monsanto database (through 1988) were chosen to evaluate three of the five currently used Uncertainty Factors. Interspecies differences in NOELs between the three mammalian species evaluated are equal to or less than a factor of 10 for both the FAO/WHO data and the Monsanto data in greater than 90% of the cases evaluated. Median values for the comparison of interspecies NOELs were 3.0 or less for all comparisons except the comparison between the mouse and rat for the Monsanto dataset where the median value was 7.5. Analyses of the Monsanto toxicity database show that the reprotoxicity NOELs were always equivalent to or higher than the chronic or subchronic NOELs for the same material. Therefore, even without cond...