Soluble CD163 and soluble mannose receptor predict survival and decompensation in patients with liver cirrhosis, and correlate with gut permeability and bacterial translocation

BACKGROUND: Activated hepatic macrophages play a key role in inflammation and fibrosis progression in chronic liver disease. AIM: To assess the prognostic value of soluble (s)CD163 and mannose receptor (sMR) in cirrhotic patients and explore associations with markers of intestinal permeability (lactulose-mannitol ratio, diamine oxidase), bacterial translocation (endotoxin, lipopolysaccharide-binding protein) and markers of systemic immune activation (interleukin-6, interleukin-8, sCD14). METHODS: We prospectively investigated 101 cirrhotic patients (Child-Pugh class A: n = 72, Child-Pugh classes B and C: n = 29) and 31 healthy controls. Patients were observed for a median follow-up of 37 months. RESULTS: Median plasma levels of sCD163 and soluble mannose receptor were significantly elevated in cirrhotic patients (P < .001) and increased with disease severity (sCD163 in healthy controls = 1.3, Child-Pugh class A = 4.2, Child-Pugh classes B and C = 8.4 mg/L; sMR in healthy controls = 15.8, Child-Pugh class A = 36.5, Child-Pugh classes B and C = 66.3 μg/dL). A total of 21 patients died during the observation period. Patients with sCD163 levels above 5.9 mg/L showed significantly reduced survival (survival rate after 36 months: 71% versus 98%, P < .001). Patients with soluble mannose receptor levels above 45.5 μg/dL developed significantly more complications of cirrhosis within 12 months (73% versus 9%, P < .001). Furthermore, both variables correlated with the lactulose-mannitol ratio, diamine oxidase, lipopolysaccharide and interleukin-8. CONCLUSION: Our data demonstrate the prognostic value of sCD163 in predicting long-term survival in patients with liver cirrhosis and identify soluble mannose receptor as a prognostic marker for occurrence of cirrhosis-associated complications. The correlation between gut barrier dysfunction and activation of macrophages points towards a link between them.