Estimating the acute effects of fine and coarse particle pollution on stroke mortality of in six Chinese subtropical cities

Abstract While increasing evidence suggested that PM 2.5 is the most harmful fraction of the particle pollutants, the health effects of coarse particles (PM 10–2.5 ) have been inconclusive, especially on cerebrovascular diseases, we thus evaluated the effects of PM 10 , PM 2.5 , and PM 10–2.5 on stroke mortality in six Chinese subtropical cities using generalized additive models. We also conducted random-effects meta-analyses to estimate the overall effects across the six cities. We found that PM 10 , PM 2.5 , and PM 10-2.5 were significantly associated with stroke mortality. Each 10 μg/m 3 increase of PM 10 , PM 2.5 and PM 10-2.5 (lag03) was associated with an increase of 1.88% (95% CI: 1.37%, 2.39%), 3.07% (95% CI: 2.35%, 3.79%), and 5.72% (95% CI: 3.82%, 7.65%) in overall stroke mortality. Using the World Health Organization's guideline as reference concentration, we estimated that 3.21% (95% CI: 1.65%, 3.01%) of stroke mortality (corresponding to 1743 stroke mortalities, 95% CI: 896, 1633) were attributed to PM 10 , 5.57% (95% CI: 0.50%, 1.23%) stroke mortality (3019, 95% CI: 2286, 3777) were attributed to PM 2.5 , and 2.02% (95% CI: 1.85%, 3.08%) of stroke mortality (1097, 95% CI: 1005, 1673) could be attributed to PM 10-2.5 . Our analysis indicates that both PM 2.5 and PM 10-2.5 are important risk factors of stroke mortality and should be considered in the prevention and control of stroke in the study area.