The effects of the removal of US safeguards on imports from China

The expiration of temporary safeguard measures against Chinese exports of certain cotton apparel to the US beginning 2009 is estimated to result in lower apparel prices in the US by $0.02/kg, on average, whereas cotton prices in the US remain unaltered in the medium term (2009-2015). A price equilibrium simulation model (of both the cotton apparel and cotton sectors) was used to estimate the trade effects of China's increased access into the US import market on other Asian and Latin American exporters to the US, and ultimately in these exporters' demand for US cotton.