A Quantitative Study of Oil Price Decrease and Bankruptcy Probability in Oil and Gas Companies

The decrease in oil prices globally has an impact on the oil and gas  company’s financial health. This study aims to provide empirical  evidence about the effect of oil prices on the probability of bankruptcy in  Indonesia, Singapore, and Australia using the probability of bankruptcy  model of Altman Z-Score. The price of oil is measured by the price of  Brent crude. Our sample is made of 20 oil and gas firms listed at the  Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), the Australian Securities Exchange  (ASX) and the Singapore Exchange (SGX) during the period of 2013- 2015 selected through purposive sampling. This study is quantitative  research with secondary data analyzed using simple regression model.  The results of this study indicate that oil prices significantly influence  the bankruptcy probability of oil and gas companies in Indonesia,  Singapore, and Australia. Keywords : Oil Price,  Probability of Bankruptcy,  Altman Z-Score. * Department of Accounting Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Padjadjaran, Jalan Dipati Ukur No. 35, Bandung 40132, Indonesia. https://doi.org/10.21632/irjbs.12.2.145-155