Development of a Preliminary Solar Wind Transport Magnetosheath Forecast Model

Abstract : An account is provided of the technical work carried out on the development of a preliminary solar wind transport magnetosheath forecast model during the period between delivery of the Phase I SWT model in November 1991 and the early termination of the contract in July 1993. The technical work during this period focused on validation of the SWT model and involved two primary technical tasks: (1) creation of the observational satellite data base against which the model was to be validated, and (2) initial comparative testing of the Phase I SWT model forecasts against these observations. Details of the results obtained from these two technical tasks are discussed. At the present stage of development, the SWT forecast model remains unqualified for operational use. An outline is provided of the technical tasks required to complete the qualification program.