Model Selection with Near Optimal Rates for Reinforcement Learning with General Model Classes

2021 
We address the problem of model selection for the finite horizon episodic Reinforcement Learning (RL) problem where the transition kernel $P^*$ belongs to a family of models $\mathcal{P}^*$ with finite metric entropy. In the model selection framework, instead of $\mathcal{P}^*$, we are given $M$ nested families of transition kernels $\cP_1 \subset \cP_2 \subset \ldots \subset \cP_M$. We propose and analyze a novel algorithm, namely \emph{Adaptive Reinforcement Learning (General)} (\texttt{ARL-GEN}) that adapts to the smallest such family where the true transition kernel $P^*$ lies. \texttt{ARL-GEN} uses the Upper Confidence Reinforcement Learning (\texttt{UCRL}) algorithm with value targeted regression as a blackbox and puts a model selection module at the beginning of each epoch. Under a mild separability assumption on the model classes, we show that \texttt{ARL-GEN} obtains a regret of $\Tilde{\mathcal{O}}(d_{\mathcal{E}}^*H^2+\sqrt{d_{\mathcal{E}}^* \mathbb{M}^* H^2 T})$, with high probability, where $H$ is the horizon length, $T$ is the total number of steps, $d_{\mathcal{E}}^*$ is the Eluder dimension and $\mathbb{M}^*$ is the metric entropy corresponding to $\mathcal{P}^*$. Note that this regret scaling matches that of an oracle that knows $\mathcal{P}^*$ in advance. We show that the cost of model selection for \texttt{ARL-GEN} is an additive term in the regret having a weak dependence on $T$. Subsequently, we remove the separability assumption and consider the setup of linear mixture MDPs, where the transition kernel $P^*$ has a linear function approximation. With this low rank structure, we propose novel adaptive algorithms for model selection, and obtain (order-wise) regret identical to that of an oracle with knowledge of the true model class.
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