Applying Three Phase Lanchester Linear Model to the Ardennes Campaign

We constructed a new Lanchester linear model for the Ardennes Campaign with three phases and Bracken’s tactical factor to obtain an improved goodness of fit with historical data. It indicates that the shift from defense to attack for the Blue force can be better described by adding a deadlock period. Our new model provides an improved explanation for the military operation research to calibrate a better fit between prediction and historical data.