Динамический анализ риска техногенных опасностей

The consequences of technogenic disasters that have occurred in the period from 1991 to 2013 were analyzed. An approach for the dynamic analysis of the risk of technogenic hazards, which allows to predict risks over time (monthly) based on stored statistical information on disasters was proposed. This approach was tested for dynamic risk solutions of technological hazards, collective and individual risks. The forecasting results of the number of transport disasters were presented