Baseline NIH Stroke Scale is an inferior predictor of functional outcome in the era of acute stroke intervention

Background and aimsBaseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores have frequently been used for prognostication after ischemic stroke. With the increasing utilization of acute stroke interventions, we aimed to determine whether baseline NIHSS scores are still able to reliably predict post-stroke functional outcome.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed prospectively collected data from a high-volume tertiary-care center. We tested strength of association between NIHSS scores at baseline and 24 h with discharge NIHSS using Spearman correlation, and diagnostic accuracy of NIHSS scores in predicting favorable outcome at three months (defined as modified Rankin Scale 0–2) using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis with area under the curve.ResultsThere were 1183 patients in our cohort, with median baseline NIHSS 8 (IQR 3–17), 24-h NIHSS 4 (IQR 1–11), and discharge NIHSS 2 (IQR 1–8). Correlation with discharge NIHSS was r = 0.60 for baseline NIHSS and r = 0.88 for 24-h NIHSS. Of all...