Understanding and predicting the diffusivity of organic chemicals for diffusive gradients in thin-films using a QSPR model

Abstract The diffusion coefficient (D) is a key physicochemical parameter for the diffusive gradients in thin films technique (DGT) for environmental sampling, which has been extended to organic chemicals (so called o-DGT). D can be measured in the laboratory, although for organic chemicals this parameter might be predicted based on chemical structure. Here we developed for the first time a Quantitative Structure-Property Relationship (QSPR) model to predict the D values. Twenty quantum chemical descriptors that quantify the electronic and energy properties of 120 organic compounds were selected together with molecular mass, solubility and hydrophobicity. The best QSPR model was established by using genetic algorithm and multiple linear regression (GA-MLR). The results indicated that the model derived from the average molecular polarizability (α), the chemical potential (ξ) and the global electrophilicity index (ω) could explain the diffusion of organics in o-DGT and had good statistical performance (R2 = 0.767, RMSE = 0.101). Different validation strategies confirmed that the developed model was robust and predictive. 93% of tested compounds were within the applicability domain (AD) and predicted accurately. We concluded that the proposed QSPR model can serve as an efficient predictive tool for new chemicals in the AD, would be useful to cross validate measured D values and provide a better the understanding of the diffusive behaviour of organics in o-DGT and measurements in the environment. It might also be useful in the non-target analysis with o-DGT for chemicals without measured D values.