Association of Infarct Volume Before Hemicraniectomy and Outcome After Malignant Infarction.

ObjectiveTo determine the impact of infarct volume before hemicraniectomy in malignant middle cerebral artery infarction (MMI) as an independent predictor for patient selection and outcome prediction, we retrospectively analyzed data of 140 patients from a prospective multi-center study.MethodsPatients from the DESTINY-Registry that underwent hemicraniectomy after ischemic infarction of >50% of the middle cerebral artery territory were included. Functional outcome according to the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) was assessed at 12 months. Unfavorable outcome was defined as mRS 4-6. Infarct size was quantified semi-automatically from computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging before hemicraniectomy. Subgroup analyses in patients fulfilling inclusion criteria of randomized trials in younger patients (age≤60y) were predefined.ResultsAmong 140 patients with complete datasets (34% female, mean (SD) age 54 (11) years), 105 (75%) had an unfavorable outcome (mRS > 3). Mean (SD) infarct volume was 238 (63) ml. Multivariable logistic regression identified age (OR 1.08 per 1 year increase; 95%-CI 1.02-1.13; p=0.004), infarct size (OR 1.27 per 10ml increase; 95%-CI 1.12-1.44; p<0.001) and NIHSS (OR 1.10; 95%-CI 1.01-1.20; p=0.030) before hemicraniectomy as independent predictors for unfavorable outcome. Findings were reproduced in patients fulfilling inclusion criteria of randomized trials in younger patients. Infarct volume thresholds for prediction of unfavorable outcome with high specificity (94% in overall cohort and 92% in younger patients) were more than 258 ml before hemicraniectomy.ConclusionOutcome in MMI strongly depends on age and infarct size before hemicraniectomy. Standardized volumetry may be helpful in the process of decision making concerning hemicraniectomy.