Identification of Ovarian Cancer Patients Most Likely to Achieve Chemotherapy Response Score 3 Following Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy: Development of a Predictive Nomogram

2020 
Background: The chemotherapy response score (CRS) system is a reproducible prognostic tool for patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) for tubo-ovarian high-grade serous carcinoma (HGSC). Achieving CRS 3 following NACT can be used as a surrogate for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). This study aimed to identify predictors of CRS 3 and develop a predictive nomogram. Methods: Data were extracted from 106 HGSC patients receiving NACT. Logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors for CRS 3. A nomogram was established based on the multivariate regression model. Results: All patients received three cycles of NACT, and CRS 3 was observed in 24 (22.6%) patients. Compared with patients in the CRS 1-2 group, patients in the CRS 3 groups had significantly improved PFS (log-rank test P 5%. Conclusions: We validated the prognostic role of the CRS system and developed a nomogram that predicts the possibility of CRS 3 following NACT. The nomogram helps to identify patients who would benefit the most from NACT. More studies are warranted to validate this model.
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