Probability hazard analysis of the operation of pipeline systems, tanks, and pressure vessels. Part 1. Algorithm of construction of the probability model

We describe the statement of the problem and realization of the probability hazard analysis of safe operation of pipeline systems, tanks, and pressure vessels. A procedure is proposed for the development of an algorithm of estimation of their engineering state based on the statistical Monte-Carlo simulations. The obtained interval estimates can be used to make correct statistical conclusions concerning the actual values of the analyzed probability characteristics with given confidence factor.