Venous and Arterial Thrombotic Events in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus.

Objective. The incidence of thrombosis in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is 25 to 50-fold higher than in the general population; we aimed to define the characteristics of venous thrombotic events (VTE) and arterial thrombotic events (ATE) to identify the patients at highest risk. Methods. The study included 219 patients with recent-onset SLE. At baseline, standardized medical history and laboratory tests were done. Followup visits occurred quarterly, and information about damage accrual, comorbidities, and cardiovascular risk factors was updated annually. Main outcome was development of TE after SLE diagnosis. Results. Thirty-five patients (16%) developed TE (27 VTE, 8 ATE) during 5.21 years of followup; incidence rate 31/1000 patient-years. Most events (57%) developed within the first year of diagnosis, and 69% were not associated with lupus anticoagulant (LAC), determined with 1 method. VTE developed earlier than ATE (2.0 vs 57.5 mos, p = 0.02). In the multivariate analysis, variables preceding VTE included cutaneous vasculitis, nephrotic syndrome, dose of prednisone, and LAC in combination with anti-RNP/Sm antibodies (p < 0.03). Patients with ATE were older (median age 44 vs 29 yrs, p = 0.04), smokers, and had hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, at least 2 traditional risk factors, nephrotic syndrome, chronic damage, and a higher cumulative dose of prednisone (p < 0.05). LAC in combination with anti-RNP/Sm antibodies was associated with VTE and improved the accuracy for predicting it. Conclusion. Our study suggests that in SLE, VTE and ATE have different risk factors. Understanding these differences is helpful for identifying patients at highest risk. The use of LAC plus anti-RNP/Sm for predicting VTE deserves further study.