What Factors Predict Recurrence after an Initial Episode of Primary Spontaneous Pneumothorax in Children

Purpose: Recurrence is the most common complication after an initial episode of primary spontaneous pneumothorax (PSP). However, preventive surgery in children remains a controversial issue. The purpose of this study was to determine predictive factors of recurrence to better inform early surgical referrals.Methods: We retrospectively reviewed all consecutive patients under 18 years of age who conservatively treated for an initial episode of PSP between March 2005 and September 2011.Results: One hundred fourteen patients were included in this study. The mean follow-up period was 43.1 months. Ipsilateral and contralateral recurrence developed in 47.3% and 14.0% of patients. The risk of ipsilateral recurrence for patients with or without air-containing lesions according to high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) was 60.3% and 31.4%. In the multivariate analysis, the presence of air-containing lesions on HRCT scans and bullae on chest X-rays were independent risk factors for ipsilateral recurrence.Conclusion: The presence of bleb or bullae on HRCT scans or chest X-rays after an initial episode of PSP was significantly related to the ipsilateral recurrence in children. If the risk factors are clarified in further studies, hospital stays and the recurrence of PSP after the first episode could be reduced with early video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery.