Debris flow hazard assessment based on Monte Carlo simulation

2011 
This Screening several factors in debris flow hazard assessment is carried out based on the infinite irrelevance method, it eliminates some factors of overlap information too much. The ratios of importance between indices as given by experts are always an dot of ratios for construction of judgment matrix in analytic hierarchy process (AHP).Due to the drawback of AHP, a debris flow hazard assessment method based on Monte Carlo simulation as a stochastic one is therefore presented. The dot assignment can be extended to the interval assignment. Then, using the statistical method gives the results of debris flow hazard assessment, this method has more accuracy and generalization. Finally, the method is proved to be feasible and reliable by an actual example. And it provides a new method for weight determining on debris flow hazard assessment.
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