[Clinical course and prognosis of primary biliary cirrhosis--multivariant analysis on cases of national survey].

: In order to predict prognosis and clinical course of BPC, theory quantification was applied and the discriminated rate was calculated concerning the cases of PBC national survey in Japan. We examined the prediction of three and five year's survival about all cases, the prediction of appearance of symptoms about asymptomatic PBC and that of jaundice about asymptomatic PBC and symptomatic PBC alone with pruritus. The useful items for the prediction of prognosis were serum bilirubin, albumin and the presence of esophageal varices at first medical examination. Fairly good discriminated rate was obtained on the prediction of three and five year's survival. However poor results were obtained concerning the prediction of appearance of symptoms. In conclusion we can predict the prognosis of PBC based on clinical features.