One kind of bus-based mass gps track historical data arrival time prediction method

The present invention discloses a bus arrival time prediction method based on GPS massive historical trajectory data. The present invention is first divided into several bus routes sections of the carriageway, and the average travel time of the plurality of sections of the carriageway by mass GPS data track, the distance between the current position of the bus and the bus stop nearest to the current total distance of sections of the carriageway ratio, with the current average travel time of road traffic, you can predict the time the bus reaches the nearest bus station. The present invention can be obtained for each road link may be more stable and massive data based on the GPS reference trajectory data, the prediction accuracy of 87.6%.