Hybrid ensemble soft computing approach for predicting penetration rate of tunnel boring machine in a rock environment

Abstract This study implements a hybrid ensemble machine learning method for forecasting the rate of penetration (ROP) of tunnel boring machine (TBM), which is becoming a prerequisite for reliable cost assessment and project scheduling in tunnelling and underground projects in a rock environment. For this purpose, a sum of 185 datasets was collected from the literature and used to predict the ROP of TBM. Initially, the main dataset was utilised to construct and validate four conventional soft computing (CSC) models, i.e. minimax probability machine regression, relevance vector machine, extreme learning machine, and functional network. Consequently, the estimated outputs of CSC models were united and trained using an artificial neural network (ANN) to construct a hybrid ensemble model (HENSM). The outcomes of the proposed HENSM are superior to other CSC models employed in this study. Based on the experimental results (training RMSE = 0.0283 and testing RMSE = 0.0418), the newly proposed HENSM is potential to assist engineers in predicting ROP of TBM in the design phase of tunnelling and underground projects.