Tests for conditional ellipticity in multivariate GARCH models
2017
Tests are proposed for the assumption that the conditional distribution of a multivariate GARCH process is elliptic. These tests are of Kolmogorov–Smirnov and Cramer–von Mises-type and make use of the common geometry underlying the characteristic function of any spherically symmetric distribution. The asymptotic null distribution of the test statistics as well as the consistency of the tests is investigated under general conditions. It is shown that both the finite sample and the asymptotic null distribution depend on the unknown distribution of the Euclidean norm of the innovations. Therefore a conditional Monte Carlo procedure is used to actually carry out the tests. The validity of this resampling scheme is formally justified. Results on the behavior of the new tests in finite-samples are included along with comparisons with other tests.
Keywords:
- Mathematics
- Statistics
- Null distribution
- Econometrics
- Multivariate statistics
- Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity
- Noncentral chi-squared distribution
- Conditional probability distribution
- Resampling
- Kolmogorov–Smirnov test
- Conditional variance
- Characteristic function (probability theory)
- Symmetric probability distribution
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