Temperature during Incubation as One Factor Affecting the Distribution of Snake River Fall Chinook Salmon Spawning Areas

Abstract Spawning areas of ocean-type fall Chinook salmon Oncorhynchus tshawytscha in the Pacific Northwest are largely restricted to relatively warm coastal rivers. Fall Chinook salmon spawners in the Snake River basin clearly favor the main-stem Snake River and the relatively warm lower reaches of its tributaries. In this note, we describe how mean temperature during incubation affects fry emergence date and influences the distribution of fall Chinook salmon spawning areas in the Snake River basin. Using laboratory results and field data, we estimated fry emergence dates for three brood years of fish in seven areas that are consistently used by spawners and in five areas that are rarely used by spawners. Mean incubation temperature was significantly (P < 0.0001) higher in consistently used areas (5.6 ± 0.1°C) than in rarely used areas (4.5 ± 0.1°C). The mean estimated emergence date for the consistently used areas was 12 May (± 20 d), compared with 26 June (± 20 d) for rarely used areas. A logistic disc...