Prospective scenarios of nuclear energy evolution over the XXI st century

In this paper, different world scenarios of nuclear energy development over the XXI st century are analyzed, by means of the EDF fuel cycle simulation code for nuclear scenario studies, TIRELIRE – STRATEGIE. Three nuclear demand scenarios are considered, and the performance of different nuclear strategies in satisfying these scenarios is analyzed and discussed, focusing on natural uranium consumption and industrial requirements related to the nuclear reactors and the associated fuel cycle facilities. Both thermal-spectrum systems (Pressurized Water Reactor and High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactor) and Fast Reactors are investigated.