Annual change in pulmonary function and clinical phenotype in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

Rationale: Although the rate of annual decline in FEV1 is one of the most important outcome measures in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), little is known about intersubject variability based on clinical phenotypes.Objectives: To examine the intersubject variability in a 5-year observational cohort study, particularly focusing on emphysema severity.Methods: A total of 279 eligible patients with COPD (stages I–IV: 26, 45, 24, and 5%) participated. We conducted a detailed assessment of pulmonary function and computed tomography (CT) at baseline, and performed spirometry every 6 months before and after inhalation of bronchodilator. Smoking status, exacerbation, and pharmacotherapy were carefully monitored. Emphysema severity was evaluated by CT and annual measurements of carbon monoxide transfer coefficient.Measurements and Main Results: Using mixed effects model analysis, the annual decline in post-bronchodilator FEV1 was −32 ± 24 (SD) ml/yr (n = 261). We classified the subjects of less than the ...