The degree of cervical length shortening as a predictor of successful or failed labor induction.

Abstract Objective To evaluate whether the degree of cervical length change was associated with successful cervical dilatation during labor induction. Materials and methods We conducted a secondary analysis of a prospective observational study of term singleton pregnant women who underwent labor inductions. Cases of Cesarean section due to fetal distress or maternal request during the first stage of labor were excluded. The enrolled women were categorized into two groups according to achievement of full cervical dilatation. The cervical length near induction and cervical length shortening over the last four weeks of pregnancy were compared between the two groups. A receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis was performed to evaluate the screening performance for failed cervical dilatation during labor induction. Results A total of 165 women were enrolled for the final analysis; of these, 145 (87.9%) women reached the second stage of labor and 20 (12.1%) women failed to achieve full cervical dilatation. Women who failed to achieve full cervical dilatation had a significantly longer cervical length near induction and less cervical length change over previous four weeks compared with women who achieved full cervical dilatation (P = 0.018 and 0.005, respectively). Multivariate analysis showed that cervical length >29 mm (odds ratios [OR], 4.15; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.290–13.374, P = 0.017) and cervical length shortening ≦ 6 mm (OR, 5.87; 95% CI, 1.552–22.271, P = 0.009) were significantly associated with failed cervical dilatation after adjusting for birthweight and previous history of vaginal delivery. Cervical length shortening alone provided a better prediction of failed cervical dilatation than the combination of cervical length and shortening (sensitivity, 76.9%; specificity, 63.8%). Conclusion The probability of failed cervical dilatation during labor induction was significantly increased in cases when the cervical length was greater than 29 mm near induction or when the cervical length shortening was less than 6 mm over the last four weeks.