Integrated dynamic probabilistic material flow analysis of engineered materials in all European countries

Abstract Uncertainties remain regarding the potential environmental risks of engineered nanomaterials, reflecting missing information on both the exposure and the hazard sides. Probabilistic material flow analysis (PMFA) is a useful exposure assessment tool that maps the flows of a substance through its lifecycle towards the environment, taking into account the uncertainties associated with the input data. In the last years, several refinements have been made to the original PMFA method, increasing its complexity with respect to systems dynamics, fate during recycling and reprocessing and forms of release. In this work, an integrated dynamic probabilistic material flow analysis (IDPMFA) was developed that combines all separate advancements of the method in one overarching software code. The new method was used to assess the forms in which nano-Ag, nano-TiO2 and nano-ZnO are released into air, soils and surface water. Each European country (EU28, Norway and Switzerland) was studied from the year 2000 to the year 2020. The present model includes new assessments of the forms in which nano-ZnO is released into the environment and of the flows out of reprocessing (last step of recycling) of nano-Ag, nano-TiO2 and nano-ZnO towards both technical and environmental compartments. The forms of ZnO released to different compartments vary greatly with different proportions between pristine, dissolved, matrix-embedded and transformed forms. The same applies for the forms of the other ENMs released after reprocessing, where different processes result in very different distributions between the various forms. The country-specific assessment showed that it is mainly the different solid waste treatment schemes that influence the distribution to final environmental sinks. Overall, the results of IDPMFA show the great importance of considering the full life cycle of nanoproducts including the different stages of recycling, the differences between countries, and the forms of the released materials. The results from the integrated model will provide useful input information for environmental fate models and for environmental risk assessments.