Comparison of Monte Carlo Simulation and Fuzzy Math Computation for Validation of Summation in Quantitative Risk Assessment

2007 
As the application of quantitative risk assessment (QRA) to food safety becomes widespread, it is now being questioned whether experimental results and simulated results coincide. Therefore, this paper comparatively analyzed experimental data and simulated data of the cross contamination, which needs summation of the simplest calculations in QRA, of chicken by Monte Carlo simulation and fuzzy math computation. In order to verify summation, the following basic operation was performed. For the experiment, thigh, breast, and a mixture of both parts were preserved for 24 hr at 20?C, and then the cell number of Salmonella spp. was measured. In order to examine the differences between ewperimental results and simulated results, we applied the descriptive statistics. The result was that mean value by fuzzy math computation was more similar to the experimental than that by Monte Carlo simulation, whwreas other statistical descriptors by Monte Carlo simulation were more similar.
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