The effect of salting on Toxoplasma gondii viability evaluated and implemented in a quantitative risk assessment of meat-borne human infection

Abstract The protozoan parasite Toxoplasma gondii can infect all warm-blooded animals and it causes the disease toxoplasmosis. Meat containing viable T. gondii tissue cysts is considered one of the main sources of human infection. The relative importance of the different types of meat depends, not only on the prevalence of T. gondii infection in the different livestock species, but also on consumed volumes and preparation habits. To take these factors into account and to estimate the relative contribution of different meat products to human infection, a quantitative risk assessment model for meat-borne T. gondii infection was previously developed. However, at the time, the effect of salting on parasite viability was estimated based on a single experiment. In recent years, data using salting methods that are more in line with processing of meat products have come available. Literature data on the effect of salting on T. gondii viability were collected and used to fit a predictive model. In addition to the new salting model, a lower concentration of bradyzoites in cattle, more specific heating profiles, and more recent consumption data were implemented in the QMRA model for meat-borne T. gondii infection in the Netherlands. Results show that beef remains the most important source, as it contributed 84% of the total number of predicted infections in the Dutch population, followed by pork (12%), mutton (3.7%), lamb (0.2%) pork/beef mixed products (0.1%), and veal (0.01%). The predicted number of T. gondii infections is reasonably in line with epidemiological data. At the product level, filet americain (a raw beef spread) alone contributed 80% of the total predicted infections in the base model, but scenario analyses demonstrate that its contribution is highly dependent on the salting parameters. A clear identification of the most risky meat products is important, as interventions focussing on these products could have a great impact on reducing T. gondii disease burden in the Netherlands. For that reason, it is important that the effects of salting and other processing methods are evaluated in line with industrial processing and incorporated in quantitative risk assessment models for meat-borne toxoplasmosis.