A Study on the Relationship between Economic Growth and Environmental Pollution in China

This paper uses data from 2000 to 2010 to forecast the turning points of EKCO in different provinces of China,and analyzes the inherent mechanism of the formation of EKC from the perspectives of scale effect,structural effect,and technical effect.In addition,the paper also conducts an analysis of the possible early and late arrival of the turning point.Forecast results show that the arrival time of the turning point greatly varies from province to province in China,and the difference is mainly resulted from the different level of structure effect and technical effect in different provinces.This research also provides a theoretical basis for the arrival of the turning point in advance.As to the prospects that the turning point in some provinces may only come after 2020,the paper takes into account the " environmental bearing capacity" of traditional EKC corrections that exists at the turning point of arrival before hitting the environmental bearing capacity of extreme value,and conducts a study on the avoidance of the risk of causing destructive damage to the environment.