Granger Causality Analysis of Interictal iEEG Predicts Seizure Focus and Ultimate Resection

BACKGROUND A critical conceptual step in epilepsy surgery is to locate the causal region of seizures. In practice, the causal region may be inferred from the set of electrodes showing early ictal activity. There would be advantages in deriving information about causal regions from interictal data as well. We applied Granger's statistical approach to baseline interictal data to calculate causal interactions. We hypothesized that maps of the Granger causality network (or GC maps) from interictal data might inform about the seizure network, and set out to see if “causality” in the Granger sense correlated with surgical targets.