El PERIODISMO DE PRONÓSTICOS/ FORECASTING JOURNALISM

This article explores the forecast or prognosis as a particular form ofjournalistic exercise. Although we appreciate the current developments in precisionjournalism and data journalism to invoice reliable and verified information -includingpredictions-, we believe that the close attachment to statistical data, computationaltreatment and mathematical modeling can prevent us from understanding the roleplayed by human configurations that are not computable or reducible to isolatedvariables. This article estimates that systematized and systematic treatment of variablesand data is essential, but also requires abductive procedures and inferences based onindications to account for possible futures. The article also makes a small study on thepresence of different forms of forecast in the broadcast of a television news programthat deals with three events: the attacks in the center of Paris on November 13, 2015,the television electoral debate that would take place on Sunday November 15, 2015in Argentina with a view to the second presidential round; and the student march inAyotzinapa, Guerrero state, Mexico, on November 14, 2015. To do this, a recordinginstrument was built that we adjusted and made complex when tested.