An Application of the Residual Income Valuation Model to Track the Variation of Stock Prices of Insurance Companies

In this paper, a simple regression model was constructed to track the variation of insurance company stock prices. Ohlson's residual income valuation model (1995) was used to create a new financial ratio P/V (price to intrinsic value) to be compared with P/B (price to book value) and P/E (price to earning) ratios. Ohlson's model helped to incorporate the clean surplus relationship to estimate the intrinsic value of insurance firms. It was found that the Ohlson's estimation has a minor improvement of book value under abnormal earning forecasting for finite future periods and does not have an obvious difference under the various discount factors. The regression model with high R-square results from the stable increment of book value and estimation of intrinsic value V.