Reflections on the Paris Agreement

With the dust now reasonably settled on the Paris talks, fresh ink on the Paris Agreement, and the possibility of a speedier ratification process than originally envisaged, it is timely to reflect on the outcome of four years of complex negotiations launched in Durban in 2011. Are the 36 pages comprising the Paris outcome (Agreement and accompanying COP decision) worthy of UNEP Executive Director Achim Steiner’s superlative assessment (“the most important international agreement in history”)? Or is the package little more than “fudge” and a wander down another blind alley? Could it be something in between? In this article the author reflects on a number of key issues arising out of the Paris Agreement with particular relevance to New Zealand. It begins with a discussion on the question of legal form before moving to the content and legal status of New Zealand’s ‘Nationally Determined Contribution’ (NDC), the significance of the 1.5°C target in Article 2.1, and potential implications of the Paris Agreement on New Zealand domestic climate change policy.