Cut-off for the legal ages in the Portuguese Population by Third Maturity Index: Measures of Accuracy

Abstract Objectives The aim of this study is to estimate the cut-off points for the Portuguese legal ages through the I3M, and to compare them with the methods of Demirjian, Nolla and Moorrees. Design The lower third molars were analyzed on 348 orthopantomography’s aged between 12 and 23 years in a Portuguese Population. The images were analyzed by ImageJ and the cut-off points were calculated for the respective legal ages of 14, 16, 18 and 21 years old. Results The correlation between age and the I3M was 0.862, whereas with Demirjian’s stadiums, Nolla’s stages, and Moorrees’ stages the correlation coefficients were 0.863, 0.842 and 0.844, respectively. For the cut-off point of 0.08 for the age of 18, a sensitivity of 78.99%, specificity of 93.48%, an accuracy of 88.54%, a positive predictive value of 86.24% and a posteriori Bayes probability of 92.82%. The cut-off points established for the ages of 14, 16, 18 and 21 years for the Portuguese population achieved an accuracy of 83.67%, 85.67%, 88.54% and 87.11%, respectively. Conclusion Demirjian’s method and Cameriere’s method attain quite similar results. In certain ages, the methods of Nolla and Moorrees show higher sensitivity or higher specificity when compared to Cameriere’s method, however this last method is more stable in terms of reliability and more suitable to use in the Portuguese population.